Easynomics: Why companies leaving China will not come to India (2024)

State governments have suddenly become very enthusiastic about what they are projecting as

labour

reforms. This is hardly surprising given that governments try and push through unpopular economic reforms at the time of an economic crisis.

So, what is happening in India currently, is no different. Labour reforms are necessary in India given that India has a surfeit of labour laws and they hamper businesses. The 2013-2014 annual report of the Ministry of Labour lists 44 Acts in the area of labour which have been passed by the central government. The veteran lobbyist,

Amit Mitra

, who is now the Finance, Industries and Commerce Minister of the state of West Bengal, estimates that there are another 150 state-level labour laws in India.

A large part of the media has bought into the so-called labour reform narrative being sold by the state governments. But is that really the case? A state like Uttar Pradesh has suspended most labour laws for a period of three years.

On the face of it, this is being to done to attract businesses to set up shop. It also feeds into the overall central government narrative of getting industries which want to leave China to set shop in India. But is that really going to happen? There are multiple reasons which suggest otherwise. Let’s take a look at them one by one.

1 Data from the

Reserve Bank of India

suggests that between October to December 2019, nearly a third of the manufacturing capacity of Indian companies was lying idle. Things could have only gotten worse since then. In this scenario, why would any existing company recruit more or expand for that matter, is a question well worth raising.

2 Data from the Centre for Monitoring Indian Economy shows that the ratio of investment projects completed to investment projects dropped has been very low in the last three financial years in comparison to the years before that. What that means is that businesses (both foreign and domestic) have not been interested in investing in India for a while now. It’s not something that’s sprung up in the post-covid scenario.

3 While companies may not be in the mood to expand, it is important for governments to create conditions which encourage companies to expand, as and when they want to. Having said that, only so-called labour law reforms are not enough.

Companies are reluctant to invest in India for a wide variety of reasons. This includes tax terrorism, frequent change in regulations and sometimes with retrospective effect, poor physical infrastructure, very high turnaround time at Indian ports, poor labour productivity, inspector raj, etc. Of course, on top of all this there are labour laws to deal with. A study titled Amendments in Labour Laws and Other Labour Reform Initiatives Undertaken by State Governments of Rajasthan, Andhra Pradesh, Haryana and

U.P

., found: “On their own strength, these amendments in labour laws have neither succeeded in attracting big investments, boost to industrialization or to job creation.” Clearly, much more is needed.

4 What about getting businesses moving out of China to set up shop in India. Businesses have been moving out of China for at least half a decade now, thanks to the country’s increasing labour costs. This was pointed out in the Economic Survey of 2016-17, which said: “India has an opportunity to promote apparel, leather and footwear sectors because of rising wage levels in China that has resulted in China stabilizing or losing market share in these products.”

The Survey pointed out that while India was well-positioned to take advantage of this given that “wage costs in most Indian states are significantly lower than in China”. But enough of this wasn’t happening. This was primarily because “the space vacated by China [was] fast being taken over by

Bangladesh

and

Vietnam

in case of apparels; Vietnam and Indonesia in case of leather and footwear.” Even “Indian apparel and leather firms” were “relocating to Bangladesh, Vietnam, Myanmar, and even Ethiopia.”

Nothing has changed between then and now to suggest that companies leaving China (if at all they do) are going to come to India.

To conclude, it is clear that suspending labour laws is not going to help in anyway. In fact, it is a step in the backward direction. What is needed, and at the risk of being repetitive, is genuine across the board economic reform. Until that happens, all the talk about companies from China moving to India, is at best a pipedream that the governments are selling to the media and the media is lapping it up.

Easynomics: Why companies leaving  China will not come to India (2024)

FAQs

Easynomics: Why companies leaving China will not come to India? ›

Companies are reluctant to invest in India for a wide variety of reasons. This includes tax terrorism, frequent change in regulations and sometimes with retrospective effect, poor physical infrastructure, very high turnaround time at Indian ports, poor labour productivity, inspector raj, etc.

Why companies are not coming to India? ›

However, the list of obstacles they face in India is equally long: "regulatory flip-flops, high tariff barriers, red tape, perplexing land policies, infrastructure issues and others tied to the ease of doing business," according to the Indian daily newspaper Deccan Herald.

Why businesses go to China and not India? ›

While India also has a large consumer market, it has faced challenges in terms of infrastructure development and market fragmentation. Political stability and predictability: China has maintained a relatively stable political environment for several decades, providing a sense of predictability for businesses.

Why are companies exiting China? ›

It was pointed out in a report done by the European Union Chamber of Commerce for China that the security controls, the government's protection of Chinese rivals, and the lack of progress on promised reforms are leading companies to feel uneasy. Slowing economic growth and rising costs are also impacting businesses.

Which companies are coming to India from China? ›

Chinese-based Companies in India
S.No.Chinese-based Companies in India
2Xiaomi
3OnePlus
4Huawei
5Tiktok (ByteDance)
6 more rows
Mar 18, 2024

Is US shifting companies from China to India? ›

The global firms are moving their manufacturing operations to India as there is no other country in the world outside China that can match the scale that India has, said the Deloitte-South Asia CEO. Some Japanese, US, and European companies are moving manufacturing operations into India.

Why foreign companies don t invest in India? ›

India's status as the fastest-growing major economy is undermined by inconsistent policies, hindering foreign investment flow, according to economists Raghuram Rajan and Surjit Bhalla. Despite recent attraction to global investors, policy uncertainty, high taxes, and erratic tariff changes deter sustained investment.

Is China a threat to Indian industries? ›

The Chinese companies are not a threat to the Indian firms in the global markets, Mike, one of the rare Chinese IT executives who worked with the top Indian company Infosys for years, told PTI here ahead of his book launch.

What will happen if India stop import from China? ›

Second, banning imports could result in consumers ending up either with poor quality products or paying for more expensive products. While banning imports may initially seem advantageous, it can lead to complacency, inefficiency and a disincentive to spend on research and development.

Can India overtake US economy? ›

If high growth rates can be sustained, India is expected to overtake the US and become the world's second-largest economy by 2075. Can India sustain a high growth rate? There are two contrasting views on this, optimistic and pessimistic, and both views are well-grounded and backed by hard facts.

Why are US companies pulling out of China? ›

Boards and companies are reevaluating their risks and reviewing mitigation strategies. This trend is being driven by a number of factors, including rising labor costs in China, the ongoing trade war between the United States and China, and concerns about China's political and economic stability.

Why are American companies leaving China? ›

“China is becoming more challenging for foreign investors. What businesses need above all else is clarity and predictability, yet across many sectors companies report that China's legal and regulatory environment is becoming less transparent and more uncertain,” Sean Stein, chairman of AmCham Shanghai, said.

Are American businesses leaving China? ›

Nicholas Burns: China is the second largest economy in the world. It's a big market. So, a few American companies have left, but most have stayed. Some American companies are moving at least some of their operations to Singapore, Vietnam, Mexico.

What is China buying from India? ›

A year since the withdrawal of Covid restrictions in China, the country has seen increased iron ore buying from India. Nearly 92 per cent of Indian iron ore exports, or 40.40 million tonne (mt) for the 11 month period (April – February) of FY24, went to China.

How much money China invested in India? ›

Ans. As per Gateway House's study “Chinese Investments in India,” the overall worth of Chinese investment funds in Indian startups between 2015 and 2020 is estimated to be around $4 billion. In reality, 18 of the 30 Indian unicorns or startups are substantially supported by Chinese funding as of March 2020.

Can we buy items from China to India? ›

License requirements for importing goods from China to India

If you are importing goods for further manufacturing or trading purpose, then you need to apply for Import Export Code (IEC). You will be penalized if you try to import goods from China without this code. Obtaining this code is pretty simple.

Why are companies leaving India? ›

In India, for example, MNCs have exited due to arbitrary tax regime, accumulated losses, over capacity, land acquisition issues and lack of expected growth due to market anomalies.

Why Indian industry is not growing? ›

Lack of Skilled and Efficient Personnel. The country has a shortage of experienced technical and efficient personnel needed for industrial development.

Why is doing business in India so difficult? ›

Complex regulatory environment: India's regulatory environment is often cited as one of the most complex in the world. Starting a business in India requires complying with numerous rules and regulations at the national, state, and local levels, which can be a time-consuming and challenging process.

Why there is a shortage of jobs in India? ›

A significant tailwind to job creation at the bottom of the pyramid helped by the government's focus on infrastructure development and rural employment is one of the main causes for labour shortage, experts said.

Top Articles
Latest Posts
Article information

Author: Virgilio Hermann JD

Last Updated:

Views: 6222

Rating: 4 / 5 (41 voted)

Reviews: 88% of readers found this page helpful

Author information

Name: Virgilio Hermann JD

Birthday: 1997-12-21

Address: 6946 Schoen Cove, Sipesshire, MO 55944

Phone: +3763365785260

Job: Accounting Engineer

Hobby: Web surfing, Rafting, Dowsing, Stand-up comedy, Ghost hunting, Swimming, Amateur radio

Introduction: My name is Virgilio Hermann JD, I am a fine, gifted, beautiful, encouraging, kind, talented, zealous person who loves writing and wants to share my knowledge and understanding with you.